0x8c4465127b5278a5d7fd120b95b77e7fe292fcd4
nelbal8486 on Polymarket: $28k total P&L, 65% win rate, 151 markets traded, $1.5M volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | $70k | 95¢ | 98¢ | $2k |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | $7k | 69¢ | 97¢ | $2k |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | $7k | 65¢ | 68¢ | $205.75 |
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | No | $3k | 96¢ | 97¢ | $43.19 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $9k | 66¢ | 36¢ | −$3k |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | $3k | 82¢ | 92¢ | $307.38 |
| Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | Yes | $3k | 71¢ | 59¢ | −$407.00 |
| Plague pandemic in 2026? | No | $2k | 97¢ | 98¢ | $24.32 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | $8k | 15¢ | 18¢ | $200.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | $8k | 15¢ | 14¢ | −$120 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | $8k | 15¢ | 14¢ | −$119.98 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | $1k | 92¢ | 96¢ | $48.28 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| joseph00677 | $4.2M | $5.7M | 11.9% | 43.5% | $47.1M |
| googleplay | $715k | $4.2M | 3.2% | 60% | $30.3M |
| raybanman | $1.1M | $2.5M | 4.8% | 43.4% | $19.3M |
| Kch-Temp | $2.0M | $2.2M | 4.7% | 53.4% | $48.1M |
| primm | $3.4M | $1.9M | 7.2% | 46.8% | $48.1M |
| taylorsversion | −$816k | $1.5M | -7.1% | 51.5% | $12.2M |
| juice-fruit | $1.2M | $1.4M | 5.9% | 58.8% | $14.6M |
| goshkam | −$1.4M | $1.0M | -23.8% | 50% | $6.0M |
| liquiditycrisis | $257k | $965k | 6.3% | 55% | $4.7M |
| justwins | −$651k | $937k | -3.3% | 51% | $21.7M |