0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3
SecondWindCapital has lost $131k on Polymarket across 84 markets, winning 35% of the ones that resolved — -$166k realized and $35k still open. Politics is the strength: $876k over 17 positions, mostly Geopolitics markets, with Sports next at $383k. The leaderboard ranks it #61 in Politics. Right now it holds 7 open positions worth $1.1M, the largest on “Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?” (No). It trades size, averaging $303k of volume per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 450k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 411k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 159k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 519k |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 18k |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 8k |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 265k |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | $1.9M | $1.5M |
| timetowander | $1.1M | $1.3M |
| 0xa3a4… | $1.6M | $1.1M |
| CoffeeDespiser | $1.1M | $992k |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| LlamaLoco0000 | $790k | $865k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $827k |
| duderr | $1.7M | $809k |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | $1.6M | $711k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Politics wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.