0x9e9ad7b5ca1c0c008b25a0fcfd7ffea62bb15d99
NERA has lost $47k on Polymarket across 509 markets, winning 55% of the ones that resolved. Other is the strength: $5.1k over 20 positions. Right now it holds 24 open positions worth $5.2k, the largest on “Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau pres…” (No). Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | No | 2k |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3k |
| Tusk out by December 31? | No | 590 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 1k |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 629 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027? | No | 409 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | No | 2k |
| Will PSOE win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 174 |
| Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? | No | 156 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | Yes | 455 |
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 488 |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset? | Yes | 124 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| takeme2themoon | $74k | $74k |
| frede13337 | $39k | $39k |
| tin54321 | $34k | $34k |
| JambonMogettes | $29k | $29k |
| cynical.reason | $25k | $25k |
| fregdf12f | $19k | $24k |
| tradetosurvive1 | −$21k | $24k |
| 0x15d3… | $22k | $24k |
| phredmoz | $15k | $22k |
| coali10 | $37k | $21k |
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