0xa309f903dbbd559e87d8d368834b8e41355c4cf2
ratehikes on Polymarket: $221k total P&L, 2% win rate, 353 markets traded, $6.2M volume. Ranked #7 in Economics.
See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $39k | 61¢ | 96¢ | $14k |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $510k | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16k |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | $3k | 24¢ | 74¢ | $2k |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $3k | 11¢ | 73¢ | $2k |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | $2k | 97¢ | 97¢ | $6.71 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | $1k | 56¢ | 97¢ | $506.66 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $5k | 18¢ | 17¢ | −$56.45 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $5k | 16¢ | 6¢ | −$561.75 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $464k | 2¢ | 0¢ | −$9k |
| Spread: Eagles (-14.5) AND Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | $212.58 | 54¢ | 47¢ | −$14.60 | |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 AND Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 AND Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown | $68.79 | 65¢ | 87¢ | $15.21 | |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 AND Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5 | $50.32 | 81¢ | 88¢ | $3.40 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | $1.7M | $131k | 7% | 61.5% | $27.7M |
| ratehikes | $246k | $91k | 3.2% | 2.2% | $6.2M |
| ethBELIVER | $258k | $60k | 7.9% | 47.1% | $4.5M |
| Adrink3D | $43k | $38k | 4% | 63.8% | $1.1M |
| odsowner | $3k | $26k | 3.2% | 49.2% | $4.7M |
| TruongMyLan | $15k | $25k | 2% | 50.9% | $4.9M |
| 0x06b2… | $143k | $24k | 3.3% | 49.2% | $2.8M |
| neuroplasticompany | $21k | $20k | 12% | 42.2% | $187k |
| tdrhrhhd | $96k | $20k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| floatingraft | $65k | $19k | -3.5% | 57.6% | $4.5M |