0xd3a6e523c440f94f9259398fbcf7b5cc5ccffd55
operationcastle on Polymarket: $565k total P&L, 48% win rate, 1,042 markets traded, $16.4M volume. Ranked #42 in Politics.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | $25k | 84¢ | 81¢ | −$875.00 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | $30k | 62¢ | 65¢ | $750.00 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | $51k | 32¢ | 35¢ | $2k |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | $20k | 66¢ | 73¢ | $1k |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | $12k | 30¢ | 35¢ | $572.71 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $4k | 97¢ | 98¢ | $47.79 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | $5k | 45¢ | 46¢ | $35.30 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | $21k | 18¢ | 10¢ | −$2k |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $4k | 29¢ | 32¢ | $109.71 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $29k | 4¢ | 4¢ | $88.07 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $1k | 98¢ | 100¢ | $16.43 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $11k | 6¢ | 7¢ | $93.15 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.3% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| flawfence | $1.2M | $826k | 3.6% | 49.9% | $30.4M |
| dromedaryy | $688k | $657k | 7.8% | 42.4% | $11.1M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| Lucerys | $422k | $396k | 2.5% | 58.8% | $9.4M |
| defillama7 | $648k | $321k | 9.8% | 66.2% | $5.8M |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k | 59.2% | 100% | $453k |
| alex20011 | $263k | $258k | 5% | 33.1% | $3.8M |