0xd5d3fde8ecf9d1c29bf8665a120971330ed8a77b
probablywronglol has lost $1.2k on Polymarket across 473 markets, winning 54% of the ones that resolved. Economics is the strength: $88 over 6 positions, mostly Macro markets. Right now it holds 31 open positions worth $3.0k, the largest on “Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $164 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 360 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 257 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 245 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 175 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 164 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 154 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 143 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 182 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 213 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 133 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 132 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 128 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Tokor | $767k | $618k |
| 0xe5e1… | $209k | $272k |
| A1729 | $192k | $169k |
| andy8980 | $163k | $163k |
| ApexUpDown | −$8k | $161k |
| RLWG | $103k | $147k |
| Telawin | −$30k | $142k |
| rekt-prediction | $134k | $138k |
| kk7777777 | −$102k | $128k |
| oxe78sh4w98 | $36k | $126k |
See the Bitcoin Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.