0xda446074d3ff8c1fa87227705468bdb80b122e5a
0xda44…2e5a on Polymarket: -$1.1k total P&L, 57% win rate, 172 markets traded, $146k volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026? | No | $120.50 | 84¢ | 100¢ | $19.22 |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October? | No | $102 | 80¢ | 100¢ | $19.80 |
| Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October? | No | $97 | 76¢ | 98¢ | $21.00 |
| Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | No | $87.50 | 75¢ | 100¢ | $21.54 |
| Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | No | $86.68 | 60¢ | 100¢ | $34.80 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $100 | 66¢ | 72¢ | $6 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? | Yes | $100.38 | 78¢ | 72¢ | −$6.22 |
| Will Claude go down 11-13 times in October? | No | $59.42 | 77¢ | 100¢ | $13.47 |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $100 | 29¢ | 28¢ | −$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat? | Yes | $100 | 18¢ | 28¢ | $10 |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October? | Yes | $31.09 | 76¢ | 72¢ | −$1.13 |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October? | No | $63.49 | 27¢ | 28¢ | $0.42 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cat-dog | $37k | $9k | 9.5% | 73% | $549k |
| merod | $13k | $7k | 6.2% | 36.8% | $2.3M |
| PiMaak | $9k | $7k | 1.4% | 62.5% | $1.1M |
| shovelingdigging | $20k | $7k | 4.3% | 64.7% | $1.4M |
| fanat12 | $19k | $6k | 1.7% | 44.9% | $2.1M |
| JokerTheClown | $6k | $6k | 6.4% | 32.3% | $1.5M |
| dromedaryy | $6k | $6k | 3.7% | 41.2% | $12.7M |
| 0x9199… | $61k | $6k | 1.5% | 52.5% | $3.8M |
| SnipleRiffle | $10k | $5k | 25.2% | 97.7% | $285k |
| knrad | $8k | $5k | 1.2% | 66.4% | $3.4M |