0xdf0e455ca4896232ba935a8176e5e8cfbb38c02b
SPLPB has lost $18k on Polymarket across 5,015 markets, winning 35% of the ones that resolved — -$14k realized and -$3.6k still open. Politics is the strength: $245 over 97 positions, mostly Elections markets. Right now it holds 360 open positions worth $8.3k, the largest on “Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Mich…” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $853 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | No | 5k |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? | Yes | 2k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | Yes | 1k |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? | No | 1k |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 281 |
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 442 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 2k |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? | No | 224 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes | 500 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 200 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | No | 137 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 163 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| aHjCz | $1.3M | $1.2M |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| dromedaryy | $644k | $590k |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k |
| Yeueu | $472k | $523k |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k |
| 88888x88888 | $307k | $307k |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k |
| defillama7 | $594k | $256k |
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.