0xdf6cafedd729f199bb0e88ecb8d5bbff19ebeb44
jk345a6bsdk has made $9.9k on Polymarket across 378 markets, winning 50% of the ones that resolved — $8.4k realized and $1.5k still open. Pop Culture is the strength: $1.5k over 95 positions, mostly Awards markets. Right now it holds 15 open positions worth $5.4k, the largest on “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December…” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $1.2k per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 3k |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 2k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 481 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 398 |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | No | 74 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 35 |
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | No | 20 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 100 |
| Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Yes | 100 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 260 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| aHjCz | $1.3M | $1.2M |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $827k |
| dromedaryy | $688k | $619k |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k |
| Yeueu | $472k | $523k |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k |
| 88888x88888 | $307k | $307k |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k |
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.