0xe52c0a1327a12edc7bd54ea6f37ce00a4ca96924
aff3 has made $317k on Polymarket across 291 markets, winning 79% of the ones that resolved — $273k realized and $44k still open. Economics is the strength: $26k over 8 positions, mostly Fed & Rates markets, with Sports next at $19k. That puts it #619 of the 1,000 most profitable wallets, and #372 in Economics. Right now it holds 13 open positions worth $600k, the largest on “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December…” (No). A high-accuracy account: right far more often than wrong. It trades size, averaging $57k of volume per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 281k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 227k |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 57k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 24k |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 18k |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 14k |
| Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? | No | 3k |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 2k |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 2k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1k |
| Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? | Yes | 471 |
| Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | No | 166 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| timetowander | $4.1M | $1.3M |
| debased | $933k | $718k |
| elmcap2 | $1.1M | $281k |
| dromedaryy | $176k | $173k |
| 0x0704… | $516k | $152k |
| gaven-willwin | $9k | $124k |
| arjennnnn | $115k | $123k |
| foodenjoyer | $741k | $120k |
| XAE12Archangel | $1.9M | $107k |
| 0xcb31… | $94k | $96k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Economics wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.