Who is favored to win AZ-01 House Election Winner on Polymarket?

Amish Shah (D), at 99%, ahead of Jay Feely (R) at 1%; $319k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 30 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.

What are the odds for each outcome of AZ-01 House Election Winner?

Amish Shah (D) 99%, Jay Feely (R) 1%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.

Where does this data come from?

Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Amish Shah (D), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · 2 outcomes · live

AZ-01 House Election Winner

AZ-01 House Election Winner on Polymarket: Amish Shah (D) leads at 99%, ahead of Jay Feely (R) at 1%. 2 outcomes are listed, $319k has traded on the event, $51k sits in the books; it closes Nov 4, 2026. The week's biggest move is Jay Feely (R), −22 pts. 18 ranked wallets back Amish Shah (D) at an average entry of 80¢. Every smart wallet on Amish Shah (D) on Polynyx ↗

Amish Shah (D)
99%
Jay Feely (R)
1%
Ranked wallets
back Amish Shah (D)
Mover · 7d
Jay Feely (R) −22 pts

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on Amish Shah (D) by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

outcomes

$319k

volume

$51k

liquidity

Nov 4

closes

AZ-01 House Election Winner · odds race

Odds history

Every outcome by odds

2 outcomes

1Amish Shah (D)99.4%
2Jay Feely (R)0.6%

Every outcome

Odds for all 2 outcomes.

Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.

Outcome	Odds	7d	Volume	Status
1Amish Shah (D)	99%	+21.9 pts	$155k	live
2Jay Feely (R)	1%	−22 pts	$163k	live

On Polynyx · free

Politics smart money and trending markets, free on Polynyx.

Where the proven wallets are positioned and what is trading most right now — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.

Elections markets ↗Smart money ↗

Smart money in Politics · live data by Polynyx

Trending in Politics · live data by Polynyx

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FAQ

Who is favored to win AZ-01 House Election Winner on Polymarket?: Amish Shah (D), at 99%, ahead of Jay Feely (R) at 1%; $319k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 30 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.
What are the odds for each outcome of AZ-01 House Election Winner?: Amish Shah (D) 99%, Jay Feely (R) 1%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.
Where does this data come from?: Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Amish Shah (D), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.