Who is favored to win FL-26 House Election Winner on Polymarket?

Mario Díaz-Balart (R), at 86%, ahead of Nicole Locklin (D) at 14%; $117k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.

What are the odds for each outcome of FL-26 House Election Winner?

Mario Díaz-Balart (R) 86%, Nicole Locklin (D) 14%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.

Where does this data come from?

Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Mario Díaz-Balart (R), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · 2 outcomes · live

FL-26 House Election Winner

FL-26 House Election Winner on Polymarket: Mario Díaz-Balart (R) leads at 86%, ahead of Nicole Locklin (D) at 14%. 2 outcomes are listed, $117k has traded on the event, $96k sits in the books; it closes Nov 4, 2026. The week's biggest move is Nicole Locklin (D), −4.5 pts. 1 ranked wallet back Mario Díaz-Balart (R) at an average entry of 87¢. Every smart wallet on Mario Díaz-Balart (… on Polynyx ↗

Mario Díaz-Balart (R)
86%
Nicole Locklin (D)
14%
Ranked wallets
back Mario Díaz-Balart (R)
Mover · 7d
Nicole Lockli… −4.5 pts

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on Mario Díaz-Balart (R) by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

outcomes

$117k

volume

$96k

liquidity

Nov 4

closes

FL-26 House Election Winner · odds race

Odds history

Every outcome by odds

2 outcomes

1Mario Díaz-Balart (R)85.5%
2Nicole Locklin (D)14%

Every outcome

Odds for all 2 outcomes.

Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.

Outcome	Odds	7d	Volume	Status
1Mario Díaz-Balart (R)	86%	+3.5 pts	$61k	live
2Nicole Locklin (D)	14%	−4.5 pts	$56k	live

More Politics events

FAQ

Who is favored to win FL-26 House Election Winner on Polymarket?: Mario Díaz-Balart (R), at 86%, ahead of Nicole Locklin (D) at 14%; $117k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.
What are the odds for each outcome of FL-26 House Election Winner?: Mario Díaz-Balart (R) 86%, Nicole Locklin (D) 14%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.
Where does this data come from?: Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Mario Díaz-Balart (R), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.