How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? on Polymarket: 2 (50 bps) leads at 73%, ahead of 1 (25 bps) at 28% and 3 (75 bps) at 1%. 6 outcomes are listed, 1 already settled, $1.4M has traded on the event, $252k sits in the books; it closes Jan 1, 2027. The week's biggest move is 1 (25 bps), +5 pts. 4 ranked wallets back 2 (50 bps) at an average entry of 28¢. Every smart wallet on 2 (50 bps) on Polynyx ↗
Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.
| Outcome | Odds | 7d | Volume | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 (50 bps) | 73% | live | ||
| 21 (25 bps) | 28% | live | ||
| 33 (75 bps) | 1% | live | ||
| 44 (100 bps) | 0% | live | ||
| 55+ (125+ bps) | 0% | live | ||
| 60 (0 bps) | 0% | out |
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.