How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026? on Polymarket: 425k to 450k leads at 17%, ahead of 500k to 525k at 16% and 475k to 500k at 12%. 9 outcomes are listed, $16k has traded on the event, $5.8k sits in the books; it closes Mar 1, 2027. The week's biggest move is 525k to 550k, −13.6 pts. Every smart wallet on 425k to 450k on Polynyx ↗
Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.
| Outcome | Odds | 7d | Volume | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1425k to 450k | 17% | live | ||
| 2500k to 525k | 16% | live | ||
| 3475k to 500k | 12% | live | ||
| 4450k to 475k | 11% | live | ||
| 5400k to 425k | 10% | live | ||
| 6550k to 575k | 9% | live | ||
| 7575k+ | 7% | live | ||
| 8<400k | 3% | live | ||
| 9525k to 550k | 3% | live |
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