Who is favored to win Montana Senate Election Winner on Polymarket?

Kurt Alme (R), at 91%, ahead of Independent at 9%; $379k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.

What are the odds for each outcome of Montana Senate Election Winner?

Kurt Alme (R) 91%, Independent 9%, Alani Bankhead (D) 0%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.

Where does this data come from?

Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Kurt Alme (R), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · 3 outcomes · live

Montana Senate Election Winner

Montana Senate Election Winner on Polymarket: Kurt Alme (R) leads at 91%, ahead of Independent at 9% and Alani Bankhead (D) at 0%. 3 outcomes are listed, $379k has traded on the event, $283k sits in the books; it closes Nov 4, 2026. The week's biggest move is Kurt Alme (R), −2 pts. 1 ranked wallet back Kurt Alme (R) at an average entry of 84¢. Every smart wallet on Kurt Alme (R) on Polynyx ↗

Kurt Alme (R)
91%
Independent
9%
Ranked wallets
back Kurt Alme (R)
Mover · 7d
Kurt Alme (R) −2 pts

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on Kurt Alme (R) by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

outcomes

$379k

volume

$283k

liquidity

Nov 4

closes

Montana Senate Election Winner · odds race

Odds history

Every outcome by odds

3 outcomes

1Kurt Alme (R)90.5%
2Independent9.1%
3Alani Bankhead (D)0.1%

Every outcome

Odds for all 3 outcomes.

Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.

Outcome	Odds	7d	Volume	Status
1Kurt Alme (R)	91%	−2 pts	$237k	live
2Independent	9%	+1.7 pts	$81k	live
3Alani Bankhead (D)	0%	—	$61k	live

More Politics events

FAQ

Who is favored to win Montana Senate Election Winner on Polymarket?: Kurt Alme (R), at 91%, ahead of Independent at 9%; $379k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.
What are the odds for each outcome of Montana Senate Election Winner?: Kurt Alme (R) 91%, Independent 9%, Alani Bankhead (D) 0%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.
Where does this data come from?: Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Kurt Alme (R), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.