Who is favored to win Nevada Governor Election Winner on Polymarket?

Aaron Ford (D), at 78%, ahead of Joe Lombardo (R) at 23%; $1.3M has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.

What are the odds for each outcome of Nevada Governor Election Winner?

Aaron Ford (D) 78%, Joe Lombardo (R) 23%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.

Where does this data come from?

Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Aaron Ford (D), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · 2 outcomes · live

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Nevada Governor Election Winner on Polymarket: Aaron Ford (D) leads at 78%, ahead of Joe Lombardo (R) at 23%. 2 outcomes are listed, $1.3M has traded on the event, $921k sits in the books; it closes Nov 4, 2026. The week's biggest move is Joe Lombardo (R), −9 pts. 10 ranked wallets back Aaron Ford (D) at an average entry of 63¢. Every smart wallet on Aaron Ford (D) on Polynyx ↗

Aaron Ford (D)
78%
Joe Lombardo (R)
23%
Ranked wallets
back Aaron Ford (D)
Mover · 7d
Joe Lombardo… −9 pts

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on Aaron Ford (D) by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

outcomes

$1.3M

volume

$921k

liquidity

Nov 4

closes

Nevada Governor Election Winner · odds race

Odds history

Every outcome by odds

2 outcomes

1Aaron Ford (D)77.5%
2Joe Lombardo (R)22.5%

Every outcome

Odds for all 2 outcomes.

Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.

Outcome	Odds	7d	Volume	Status
1Aaron Ford (D)	78%	+8.5 pts	$760k	live
2Joe Lombardo (R)	23%	−9 pts	$580k	live

More Politics events

FAQ

Who is favored to win Nevada Governor Election Winner on Polymarket?: Aaron Ford (D), at 78%, ahead of Joe Lombardo (R) at 23%; $1.3M has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.
What are the odds for each outcome of Nevada Governor Election Winner?: Aaron Ford (D) 78%, Joe Lombardo (R) 23%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.
Where does this data come from?: Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Aaron Ford (D), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.