Who is favored to win PA-08 House Election Winner on Polymarket?

Paige Cognetti (D), at 86%, ahead of Rob Bresnahan (R) at 13%; $77k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 30 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.

What are the odds for each outcome of PA-08 House Election Winner?

Paige Cognetti (D) 86%, Rob Bresnahan (R) 13%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.

Where does this data come from?

Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Paige Cognetti (D), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · 2 outcomes · live

PA-08 House Election Winner

PA-08 House Election Winner on Polymarket: Paige Cognetti (D) leads at 86%, ahead of Rob Bresnahan (R) at 13%. 2 outcomes are listed, $77k has traded on the event, $114k sits in the books; it closes Nov 4, 2026. The week's biggest move is Rob Bresnahan (R), −1 pts. 3 ranked wallets back Paige Cognetti (D) at an average entry of 81¢. Every smart wallet on Paige Cognetti (D) on Polynyx ↗

Paige Cognetti (D)
86%
Rob Bresnahan (R)
13%
Ranked wallets
back Paige Cognetti (D)
Mover · 7d
Rob Bresnahan… −1 pts

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on Paige Cognetti (D) by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

outcomes

$77k

volume

$114k

liquidity

Nov 4

closes

PA-08 House Election Winner · odds race

Odds history

Every outcome by odds

2 outcomes

1Paige Cognetti (D)85.5%
2Rob Bresnahan (R)12.5%

Every outcome

Odds for all 2 outcomes.

Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.

Outcome	Odds	7d	Volume	Status
1Paige Cognetti (D)	86%	+0.5 pts	$28k	live
2Rob Bresnahan (R)	13%	−1 pts	$49k	live

More Politics events

FAQ

Who is favored to win PA-08 House Election Winner on Polymarket?: Paige Cognetti (D), at 86%, ahead of Rob Bresnahan (R) at 13%; $77k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 30 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.
What are the odds for each outcome of PA-08 House Election Winner?: Paige Cognetti (D) 86%, Rob Bresnahan (R) 13%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.
Where does this data come from?: Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Paige Cognetti (D), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.