Who is favored to win TX-23 House Election Winner on Polymarket?

Brandon Herrera (R), at 54%, ahead of Katy Padilla Stout (D) at 45%; $199k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.

What are the odds for each outcome of TX-23 House Election Winner?

Brandon Herrera (R) 54%, Katy Padilla Stout (D) 45%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.

Where does this data come from?

Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Brandon Herrera (R), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · 2 outcomes · live

TX-23 House Election Winner

TX-23 House Election Winner on Polymarket: Brandon Herrera (R) leads at 54%, ahead of Katy Padilla Stout (D) at 45%. 2 outcomes are listed, $199k has traded on the event, $115k sits in the books; it closes Nov 4, 2026. The week's biggest move is Brandon Herrera (R), −7 pts. 2 ranked wallets are fading Brandon Herrera (R) at an average entry of 44¢. Every smart wallet on Brandon Herrera (R) on Polynyx ↗

Brandon Herrera (R)
54%
Katy Padilla Stout (D)
45%
Ranked wallets
fade Brandon Herrera (R)
Mover · 7d
Brandon Herre… −7 pts

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on Brandon Herrera (R) by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

outcomes

$199k

volume

$115k

liquidity

Nov 4

closes

TX-23 House Election Winner · odds race

Odds history

Every outcome by odds

2 outcomes

1Brandon Herrera (R)53.5%
2Katy Padilla Stout (D)45%

Every outcome

Odds for all 2 outcomes.

Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.

Outcome	Odds	7d	Volume	Status
1Brandon Herrera (R)	54%	−7 pts	$117k	live
2Katy Padilla Stout (D)	45%	+6 pts	$83k	live

More Politics events

FAQ

Who is favored to win TX-23 House Election Winner on Polymarket?: Brandon Herrera (R), at 54%, ahead of Katy Padilla Stout (D) at 45%; $199k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.
What are the odds for each outcome of TX-23 House Election Winner?: Brandon Herrera (R) 54%, Katy Padilla Stout (D) 45%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.
Where does this data come from?: Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Brandon Herrera (R), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.