Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government? on Polymarket: National + ACT + NZF leads at 56%, ahead of Labour + Green + Maori at 23% and Labour + Green at 20%. 18 outcomes are listed, $97k has traded on the event, $355k sits in the books; it closes Nov 8, 2026. The week's biggest move is Labour + Green + Maori, +4 pts. Every smart wallet on National + ACT + NZF on Polynyx ↗
Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.
| Outcome | Odds | 7d | Volume | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1National + ACT + NZF | 56% | live | ||
| 2Labour + Green + Maori | 23% | live | ||
| 3Labour + Green | 20% | live | ||
| 4Other | 3% | live | ||
| 5National + ACT | 1% | live | ||
| 6National + Labour | 0% | live | ||
| 7Labour | 0% | live | ||
| 8National + ACT + NZF + Maori | 0% | live | ||
| 9Labour + Maori | 0% | live | ||
| 10Labour + Green + NZF | 0% | live | ||
| 11Labour + Green + Maori + NZF | 0% | live | ||
| 12Labour + NZF | 0% | live | ||
| 13Labour + Maori + NZF | 0% | live | ||
| 14National | 0% | live | ||
| 15National + NZF | 0% | live | ||
| 16National + Maori | 0% | live | ||
| 17National + ACT + Maori | 0% | live | ||
| 18National + NZF + Maori | 0% | live |
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Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.