No 92% · Yes 9%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 80¢). Volume $189, liquidity $11k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $814k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $224k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $217k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $198k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $185k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $168k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $162k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 86 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 19 |
| The-one-26876 | Yes | 16 |
| 0x2e95…2bb7 | Yes | 8 |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | No | 127 |
| randomWalkingShrimp | No | 6 |
| frozenriver | No | 2 |
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