No won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 77¢) and won. Volume $3.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 61% · Anthropic 33% · OpenAI 4% | $61k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 26% · OpenAI 3% | $42k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 28% · November 10 25% · November 9 8% | $23k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 5 34% · November 6 28% · November 12 11% | $20k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 80% · November 16–November 22 11% · November 2–November 8 6% | $17k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026? | Yes 37% · No 63% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $8k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| QR1 | No | $52.94 |
| sunnybank | No | $33.97 |
| 💰💰 | No | $16.43 |
| special-one | No | $11.80 |
| Kooooejj | No | $10.23 |
| zhukov26 | No | $8.90 |
| Cruzzz123 | No | $8.52 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | $7.20 |
| 0x49dc… | No | $6.80 |
| youyizhiguangg | No | $6.07 |
| sherri71 | No | $6.07 |
| obliq | No | $5.70 |
34 wallets held a position at the close. The 22 biggest winners took $199; the 12 biggest losers gave up $65. The ranked wallets were on the winning side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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