Valerio Aboian won. Smart money backed Miguel Tobon (5 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢) and lost. Volume $146k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 7% | $4.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.4M |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Natus Vincere 44% · Team Falcons 56% | $1.3M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti 80% · Hubert Hurkacz 20% | $881k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf12f… | Valerio Aboian | $9k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Valerio Aboian | $1k |
| Ghipolito | Valerio Aboian | $317.70 |
| HVAB | Valerio Aboian | $304.47 |
| 789Markin | Valerio Aboian | $262.37 |
| did-i-ask-for-the-physio | Valerio Aboian | $260.25 |
| 0x1fe8… | Valerio Aboian | $193.20 |
| sm-02 | Valerio Aboian | $170.00 |
| oya64 | Miguel Tobon | $149.63 |
| MoneyComeBABY | Valerio Aboian | $113.33 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Valerio Aboian | $109.25 |
| hhhizli | Valerio Aboian | $77.91 |
165 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $13k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $9.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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