Alex Molcan won. Smart money backed Nuno Borges (3 ranked wallets, average entry 47¢) and lost. Volume $145k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $4.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 73% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $2.9M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 28% | $2.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.8M |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $1.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $1.5M |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | Yes 45% · No 56% | $667k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| DrSlips | Alex Molcan | $3k |
| 0x7609… | Alex Molcan | $2k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Alex Molcan | $1k |
| 0x3f24… | Alex Molcan | $873.39 |
| 01258787xy48487484545122 | Alex Molcan | $441.35 |
| 1boy | Alex Molcan | $441.04 |
| Tacotruck02 | Alex Molcan | $385.10 |
| 0x92c8… | Alex Molcan | $383.31 |
| DDPOLY | Alex Molcan | $354 |
| 0x1c70… | Alex Molcan | $307.23 |
| 0x7f1c… | Alex Molcan | $296.53 |
| ShoveIsAllYouNeed | Alex Molcan | $216.67 |
186 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $12k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $27k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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