Juan Manuel Cerundolo won. Smart money backed Miomir Kecmanovic (5 ranked wallets, average entry 44¢) and lost. Volume $476k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 10% · IA, KS 7% | $5.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.5M |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | Yes 45% · No 56% | $616k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 62% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 38% | $546k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $4k |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $3k |
| phredmoz | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $3k |
| 0000. | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $2k |
| JerOri | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $1k |
| lonzoball | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $994.52 |
| Mother-Teresa | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $764.19 |
| fffnnnddd | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $638.78 |
| TraderXI | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $536.02 |
| 0xa0f2… | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $458.70 |
| tenet-bot | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | $409.05 |
| 0x7750… | Miomir Kecmanovic | $369.69 |
352 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $21k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $72k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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