Joao Victor Couto Loureiro won. Smart money backed Felipe de Dios (3 ranked wallets, average entry 11¢) and lost. Volume $17k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $12.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.1M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 23% | $2.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.7M |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 77% · No 23% | $1.1M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $848k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $69.90 |
| hhhizli | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $26.08 |
| Mother-Teresa | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $10.85 |
| ppyiago | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $9.75 |
| ET65 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $9 |
| lgSosa | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $5.96 |
| uyu01 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $4.40 |
| zoroelnino | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $4.10 |
| alwayscha | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $3.60 |
| bahn-cuon-baby | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $3.52 |
| swaz13131313 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $2.50 |
| igot50k | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $2.44 |
34 wallets held a position at the close. The 19 biggest winners took $166; the 15 biggest losers gave up $900. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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