Felix Balshaw won. Smart money backed Jaime Faria (11 ranked wallets, average entry 60¢) and lost. Volume $688k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $2.9M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $2.8M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.5M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $878k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 63% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $832k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Felix Balshaw | $20k |
| ubetteruuuu | Felix Balshaw | $11k |
| 0x0x23kjookhaiuohduoayh8c9 | Felix Balshaw | $3k |
| 1234162 | Felix Balshaw | $3k |
| 0x556a… | Felix Balshaw | $891.31 |
| Kangta7373 | Felix Balshaw | $883.20 |
| chiefphi | Felix Balshaw | $770.50 |
| Optiamo | Felix Balshaw | $711.28 |
| BEXim | Felix Balshaw | $460 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Felix Balshaw | $396.54 |
| oracle91 | Felix Balshaw | $366.67 |
| ALWAYSWIN1 | Felix Balshaw | $310.47 |
423 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $46k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $89k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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