Arthur Rinderknech won. Smart money backed Martin Damm (28 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢) and lost. Volume $120k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 21% · 50+ bps decrease 1% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Abdul El-Sayed 1% · Elissa Slotkin 0% | $1.4M |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 17% · T1 83% | $1.2M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Nikki Haley 1% · Rick Scott 0% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Jon Ossoff 19% · Glenn Youngkin 0% | $652k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | T1 35% · Karmine Corp 66% | $614k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | T1 65% · Karmine Corp 36% | $506k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 69% · Puma Shen 32% | $484k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Nim89 | Arthur Rinderknech | $947.37 |
| betvalue79 | Arthur Rinderknech | $198.05 |
| 0x6add… | Arthur Rinderknech | $130.62 |
| TE2137 | Arthur Rinderknech | $122.73 |
| GooberSlobber | Arthur Rinderknech | $119.88 |
| 0x20ba… | Arthur Rinderknech | $113.44 |
| BDRYHXF47747 | Arthur Rinderknech | $113.40 |
| AlexRudin | Arthur Rinderknech | $108.62 |
| BOTTTTTT2204546446546541651 | Arthur Rinderknech | $82.80 |
| 0xd535… | Arthur Rinderknech | $81.82 |
| 0x9e10… | Arthur Rinderknech | $81.64 |
| 0x0320… | Arthur Rinderknech | $77.78 |
268 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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