Matteo Sciahbasi won. Smart money backed Arvid Nordquist (4 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $27k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 7% | $5.0M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.5M |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Natus Vincere 52% · Team Falcons 48% | $1.8M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.5M |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | Yes 45% · No 55% | $616k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Matteo Sciahbasi | $2k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Matteo Sciahbasi | $862.93 |
| 0x87f7… | Matteo Sciahbasi | $315.30 |
| 0xa0f2… | Matteo Sciahbasi | $306.49 |
| 0x58e8… | Matteo Sciahbasi | $294.78 |
| 0x5f6c… | Matteo Sciahbasi | $206.27 |
| gavnol | Matteo Sciahbasi | $112.41 |
| 0xcc11… | Matteo Sciahbasi | $104.28 |
| T4RT4RIN | Matteo Sciahbasi | $72.66 |
| clownly | Matteo Sciahbasi | $51.10 |
| 0x1e3b… | Matteo Sciahbasi | $39.32 |
| 0x6b25… | Matteo Sciahbasi | $35.50 |
73 wallets held a position at the close. The 41 biggest winners took $4.9k; the 32 biggest losers gave up $10k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.