Valentin Vacherot won. Smart money backed Stefanos Tsitsipas (6 ranked wallets, average entry 61¢) and lost. Volume $594k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 35% · IA 10% · IA, KS 9% | $3.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.9M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 30% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Raptors vs. Lakers | Raptors 4% · Lakers 96% | $788k |
| Clippers vs. Warriors | Clippers 15% · Warriors 86% | $662k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| HBAFlover98 | Valentin Vacherot | $7k |
| Kev69 | Valentin Vacherot | $5k |
| 0xa3ae… | Valentin Vacherot | $3k |
| 0xbedb… | Valentin Vacherot | $1k |
| Carlos10 | Valentin Vacherot | $1k |
| Madeira99 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | $1k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Valentin Vacherot | $1k |
| Ss1984 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | $1k |
| 0x0b14… | Valentin Vacherot | $1k |
| ESYTrades | Valentin Vacherot | $749.56 |
| vanya723 | Valentin Vacherot | $745.57 |
| Nc1989 | Valentin Vacherot | $657.75 |
513 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $32k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $39k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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