Ryo Tabata won. Smart money backed Rocco Valente (2 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢) and lost. Volume $63k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 7% | $4.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $1.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.4M |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Natus Vincere 46% · Team Falcons 55% | $1.1M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | FURIA 68% · FaZe 33% | $1.1M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Ryo Tabata | $312.37 |
| 0x2d2c… | Ryo Tabata | $310.70 |
| 0x1e3b… | Ryo Tabata | $96.22 |
| Eulhunter | Ryo Tabata | $65.65 |
| sweetcaroline | Ryo Tabata | $40.70 |
| 0x4209… | Ryo Tabata | $21.49 |
| bahn-cuon-baby | Ryo Tabata | $20.16 |
| gigglygoat44 | Ryo Tabata | $17.98 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Ryo Tabata | $17.15 |
| hwidelance | Ryo Tabata | $13.16 |
| blazedbunny | Ryo Tabata | $9.41 |
| wall3r | Ryo Tabata | $7.06 |
55 wallets held a position at the close. The 34 biggest winners took $989; the 21 biggest losers gave up $6.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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