Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 99¢) and lost. Volume $488k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $125k |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $104k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $96k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $82k |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 5? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $71k |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $71k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 34% · No 67% | $64k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? | Yes 47% · No 54% | $62k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x5629… | Yes | $6k |
| Feby | Yes | $5k |
| 0x0b9d… | Yes | $5k |
| Nesche | Yes | $3k |
| dailytrade | Yes | $1k |
| 0xbfa4… | Yes | $1k |
| nirvanacrypto | Yes | $1k |
| bc1qpfuf2ynwcynnf9aczxvqgumxsznsunrk0r9tn3 | Yes | $932.90 |
| Calmakim | Yes | $891.15 |
| Frikk | Yes | $752.32 |
| 0x60cf… | Yes | $620.09 |
| udikqe1 | Yes | $605.31 |
450 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $34k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $23k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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