Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $167. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Abdul El-Sayed 1% · Elissa Slotkin 0% | $1.3M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 50+ bps decrease 1% | $1.0M |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $619k |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | TheMongolz 34% · Natus Vincere 67% | $588k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $560k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 19% · Jon Ossoff 18% · Nikki Haley 0% | $550k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 31% | $467k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 37% · John McEntee 3% · Nikki Haley 1% | $383k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| icebergMilki | Down | $10.67 |
| pppppppp223 | Down | $1.50 |
| 0xc249… | Up | −$8.17 |
| bleed1 | Up | −$2.50 |
| 0x0363… | Up | −$1.45 |
| FailedTrader | Up | −$1.40 |
| rmmoneties2 | Up | −$1 |
7 wallets held a position at the close. The 2 biggest winners took $12; the 5 biggest losers gave up $15. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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