Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 44¢) and lost. Volume $227k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 35% · IA 10% · IA, KS 9% | $3.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.8M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 30% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Raptors vs. Lakers | Raptors 14% · Lakers 87% | $724k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 8% · Sarah Knafo 0% | $645k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xPIXIU | Up | $939.41 |
| 0xb726… | Up | $926.54 |
| 0x45da… | Up | $804.83 |
| 2997qwer | Up | $709.09 |
| 0xb726… | Down | $546.46 |
| 0xe7e3… | Up | $485.64 |
| ali798 | Up | $454.46 |
| demonioiiii | Up | $450.29 |
| djaywc | Up | $431.44 |
| gendange | Up | $409.31 |
| 3456apple | Up | $395.52 |
| 0x761f… | Up | $385.60 |
1,134 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $13k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $14k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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