Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢) and lost. Volume $18k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 94% · Republican Party 6% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 23% | $2.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $1.5M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $880k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $767k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x1bc3… | Down | $236.92 |
| maxmaxi04 | Down | $108.51 |
| 0xce25… | Down | $93.58 |
| 0x3999… | Down | $73.66 |
| renford18 | Down | $55.98 |
| kevincassa | Down | $54.09 |
| minusalpha1 | Down | $47.17 |
| 0x3179… | Down | $43.18 |
| alveron24 | Down | $39.83 |
| hevenshine | Down | $33.15 |
| FadeCrowd123 | Down | $31.76 |
| meowmeow6769 | Down | $31.28 |
218 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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