Down won. Smart money backed Up (5 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢) and lost. Volume $34k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Abdul El-Sayed 1% · Elissa Slotkin 0% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 50+ bps decrease 1% | $1.3M |
| Spurs vs. Kings | Spurs 92% · Kings 8% | $950k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $557k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $550k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Jon Ossoff 18% · Nikki Haley 0% | $524k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 69% · Puma Shen 31% | $488k |
| Trail Blazers vs. Lakers | Trail Blazers 59% · Lakers 42% | $386k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| KARIZMATIKU | Down | $1k |
| 0x1bc3… | Down | $682.76 |
| MikeAddon | Down | $463.37 |
| CnR89 | Down | $158.48 |
| archuser | Down | $96.07 |
| jdoggy55 | Down | $94.19 |
| G-Penis-Monster | Down | $85.60 |
| 0xb5e7… | Down | $71.33 |
| 0xbc3c… | Down | $49.25 |
| alveron24 | Down | $44.76 |
| FadeCrowd123 | Down | $43.69 |
| OriEzra | Up | $37.36 |
229 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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