Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 16¢) and lost. Volume $9.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $2.9M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.5M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $882k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $782k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Hsilverbasher | Down | $78.70 |
| 0xc7eb… | Down | $29.60 |
| ShouUn | Down | $6.56 |
| 0RockStar | Down | $5 |
| 0x4ca3… | Down | $4.52 |
| aab11 | Down | $2.80 |
| mydreams | Down | $2.57 |
| bbd113d | Down | $1.90 |
| nexus.crypto | Down | $1.85 |
| LIBERALLEON | Down | $1.02 |
| sdflll11 | Down | $1 |
| sadfsad3 | Down | $1 |
47 wallets held a position at the close. The 19 biggest winners took $143; the 28 biggest losers gave up $440. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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