Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $101k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $9.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 23% | $2.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.6M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | FURIA 54% · Natus Vincere 46% | $1.4M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $903k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| IamFKINGbankrupt | Up | $2k |
| 0xb305… | Up | $483.87 |
| instictua | Up | $479.04 |
| asdasdas55 | Up | $477.51 |
| 0x170c… | Up | $450 |
| 0xd340… | Up | $450 |
| 0x37c6… | Up | $417.15 |
| 0x4b47… | Up | $404.55 |
| yungOhioboy | Up | $395.15 |
| 0x1bd7… | Up | $389.82 |
| 0xd1cd… | Up | $370 |
| 0x43cf… | Up | $346.31 |
1,205 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $14k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $12k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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