Down won. Smart money backed Up (4 ranked wallets, average entry 44¢) and lost. Volume $111k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 35% · IA 10% · IA, KS 9% | $3.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.9M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 30% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Raptors vs. Lakers | Raptors 11% · Lakers 90% | $788k |
| Clippers vs. Warriors | Clippers 19% · Warriors 82% | $662k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf8e5… | Down | $3k |
| IamFKINGbankrupt | Down | $2k |
| 0xf508… | Down | $659.18 |
| Si-gambler | Down | $638.85 |
| 0xbd30… | Down | $463.85 |
| weresobackhet | Down | $461.52 |
| spcork2 | Down | $459.55 |
| 0x89b8… | Down | $453.13 |
| 0xf344… | Up | $441.57 |
| Xieyt | Down | $383.28 |
| dhr764657fh | Down | $361.93 |
| 0x9e8a… | Down | $330.35 |
1,443 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $18k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $12k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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