Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $73k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $13.0M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $9.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 23% | $2.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.4M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | FURIA 28% · Natus Vincere 72% | $1.7M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.4M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $904k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Si-gambler | Down | $364.11 |
| Professor-.-. | Down | $247.49 |
| MBF888888 | Down | $167.77 |
| 0xbd8f… | Down | $104.31 |
| 0xf766… | Down | $102.80 |
| nndrekop | Down | $102 |
| 0xa4fe… | Down | $100.65 |
| 0xeafd… | Down | $98.51 |
| 0x10c5… | Down | $95.27 |
| 0x8fae… | Down | $76.45 |
| 0x0870… | Down | $67.74 |
| tonyjunjun02 | Down | $66.05 |
853 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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