Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 34¢) and lost. Volume $163k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 9% | $3.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.9M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 30% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Raptors vs. Lakers | Raptors 5% · Lakers 95% | $788k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% · Sarah Knafo 0% | $645k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ldjfgklendmMMM | Up | $2k |
| 0x085a… | Up | $745.18 |
| 0x5a46… | Down | $707.45 |
| 0xa4fe… | Up | $544.41 |
| 0xd972… | Up | $482.52 |
| khalll | Up | $391.05 |
| renjyhoierjoyher | Up | $380.51 |
| nndrekop | Up | $379.06 |
| asdasdas55 | Up | $279.20 |
| 0x9d08… | Down | $268.39 |
| KawaiKGIRL | Down | $262.69 |
| Professor-.-. | Up | $247.50 |
1,519 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $12k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $24k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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