Down won. Smart money backed Up (4 ranked wallets, average entry 9¢) and lost. Volume $48k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $10.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $3.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 24% | $3.4M |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 67% · Seahawks 33% | $2.2M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $2.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.6M |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Hawks 94% · Pacers 7% | $1.4M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Oussou931 | Down | $208.47 |
| 0x3244… | Down | $160.94 |
| 0x041c… | Down | $136.86 |
| GabeWinner | Down | $78.87 |
| chavo93 | Down | $77.15 |
| 0x90b5… | Down | $72.37 |
| 0xc3aa… | Down | $44.44 |
| zzgPWE32nq | Down | $36.80 |
| TwoTradeStopper | Down | $33.14 |
| Nobodynobodyno | Down | $31.54 |
| Aerodiavolo | Down | $30.17 |
| ROBERTSIMON1987 | Down | $29.51 |
374 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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