Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 33¢) and lost. Volume $31k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 8% · IA, KS 8% | $4.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.9M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $1.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Raptors vs. Lakers | Raptors 1% · Lakers 99% | $906k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% · Sarah Knafo 0% | $645k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| drew112d | Up | $396.18 |
| granalmeja | Up | $222.30 |
| BOOOST | Up | $91.50 |
| 0xe235… | Up | $79.69 |
| Claybrook34 | Up | $79.16 |
| 0xd56a… | Up | $64.67 |
| 0xa535… | Up | $57.78 |
| k4zzat-bro | Up | $56.16 |
| Gabriel6767 | Up | $55.73 |
| 0xad7a… | Up | $55.51 |
| BrickThrower | Up | $44.77 |
| secrete | Up | $44.61 |
450 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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