Up won. Smart money backed Down (3 ranked wallets, average entry 17¢) and lost. Volume $62k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Abdul El-Sayed 1% · Elissa Slotkin 0% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 50+ bps decrease 1% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 19% · Jon Ossoff 18% · Raphael Warnock 1% | $594k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $585k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $563k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 31% | $491k |
| TCU vs. Arizona | TCU 51% · Arizona 50% | $389k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · John McEntee 3% · Nikki Haley 1% | $383k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xe5ef… | Up | $948.70 |
| lkojihfafaf | Up | $292.65 |
| 0xced8… | Up | $221.93 |
| BrickThrower | Up | $117.67 |
| ApexUpDown | Up | $91.83 |
| y8ke03 | Up | $84.53 |
| 0x9873… | Up | $83.67 |
| Hamudi415 | Up | $78.85 |
| brotlipolis | Up | $64.80 |
| updowduke | Up | $60.26 |
| 0xee2a… | Up | $53.94 |
| Aviromi | Up | $51.20 |
661 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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