Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $76k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 23% | $3.1M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $2.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.5M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot | Novak Djokovic 61% · Valentin Vacherot 39% | $976k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 36% | $966k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x22e6… | Up | $9k |
| gammatrader | Up | $547.03 |
| james0079 | Up | $371.43 |
| Juicy-Methodology-Magnitude | Up | $210.72 |
| y8ke03 | Up | $152.02 |
| 0x7db9… | Up | $144.84 |
| 0x980e… | Up | $142.50 |
| 0x1af3… | Up | $122.22 |
| nememmememe | Up | $112.66 |
| 0xdd85… | Up | $112.33 |
| JJplayer | Up | $110.49 |
| alveron24 | Up | $103.17 |
702 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $13k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $8.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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