Incarnate Word won. Smart money backed Northwestern State (1 ranked wallet, average entry 10¢) and lost. Volume $9.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
10 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $7; the 5 biggest losers gave up $12. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $649k |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $565k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $557k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $453k |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · Draw (Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF) 12% | $451k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Calmaestonks | Incarnate Word | $2.70 |
| 0x0f6e… | Incarnate Word | $1.20 |
| 0x722d… | Incarnate Word | $1.17 |
| moneyline7 | Incarnate Word | $0.95 |
| elgrandes | Incarnate Word | $0.62 |
| ZYbRUIpL | Northwestern State | −$6.49 |
| Cmp-Gamble-Trash | Northwestern State | −$2 |
| Calmaestonks | Northwestern State | −$1.56 |
| 0xdd3b… | Northwestern State | −$1.08 |
| 0x1bc3… | Northwestern State | −$1 |