Yes won. Smart money backed No (13 ranked wallets, average entry 87¢) and lost. Volume $338k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 12% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · James Talarico 2% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 56% · Pistons 44% | $1.1M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $787k |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 15% · Celtics 85% | $780k |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks 62% · Wizards 39% | $664k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| unwillingly-public | Yes | $7k |
| 0xcd73… | Yes | $3k |
| Optimus- | Yes | $2k |
| whig | Yes | $2k |
| Delta141 | Yes | $2k |
| Levelhead | Yes | $494.38 |
| shmeba | Yes | $469.10 |
| 0x788b… | Yes | $376.22 |
| melonmanm | Yes | $363.11 |
| Scandica2 | Yes | $345.19 |
| 0x43ab… | No | $342.91 |
| Contred | Yes | $295.94 |
421 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $23k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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