No 97% · Yes 3%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 88¢). Volume $40k, liquidity $2.7k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 70% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $110k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 1% | $29k |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 70% · No 31% | $20k |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 70% · 25 bps increase 25% | $18k |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March? | 25 bps increase 43% · 25 bps decrease 17% | $16k |
| Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November | 25 bps increase 92% · No change 7% | $8k |
| Central Bank of Chile decision in December | No change 75% · 25 bps increase 19% · 50+ bps increase 2% | $7k |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wojtek | Yes | 6k |
| 0x5b21…b928 | Yes | 994 |
| -67- | Yes | 800 |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 498 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 287 |
| NFspec | Yes | 281 |
| uraw | Yes | 224 |
| 5atka | Yes | 185 |
| Bradlo | Yes | 131 |
| 0x5518…46c8 | Yes | 100 |
| QMG-MACRO | No | 2k |
| SaracensCapital2 | No | 2k |
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