No 50% · Yes 50%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 90¢). Volume $1.9k, liquidity $260. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $683k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $232k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $190k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $188k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $181k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $155k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $131k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x21be…410e | Yes | 1k |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 170 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 80 |
| 0x0d97…768c | Yes | 42 |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 |
| pupka-zalupka | Yes | 0 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 0 |
| PPMT | Yes | 0 |
| Te0n2 | No | 300 |
| DeverNoom | No | 200 |
| DerDon | No | 200 |
| 0x507b…0742 | No | 160 |
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