Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 63¢) and lost. Volume $5.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $13.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 23% | $2.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.4M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | FURIA 32% · Natus Vincere 68% | $1.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.4M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $903k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x1bc3… | Down | $204.12 |
| 0x4bd4… | Down | $67.37 |
| 0x0363… | Down | $67.10 |
| A1729 | Down | $63.90 |
| afv0x | Down | $49.08 |
| lionyum | Down | $44.76 |
| crossarbbot | Down | $38.30 |
| ffffgh | Down | $31.70 |
| rear | Down | $29.73 |
| Serdaralp | Down | $20.88 |
| 0x624e… | Down | $19.28 |
| Mimimimimimimmi | Down | $18.60 |
95 wallets held a position at the close. The 41 biggest winners took $820; the 54 biggest losers gave up $991. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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