Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $41k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $4.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 28% | $2.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.5M |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | Yes 45% · No 56% | $617k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 63% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 38% | $546k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| justlong | Up | $459.20 |
| DerekWeber2446 | Up | $216.45 |
| praydge | Up | $197.48 |
| 3-2is1 | Up | $144.89 |
| BannyRidder | Up | $48.55 |
| ckivQJV5L0eMRm | Up | $40.63 |
| anygivensonday | Up | $25.52 |
| v9.k-2mP1r | Up | $19.90 |
| ar4gd9JtBpHdd0 | Up | $18.87 |
| psyco | Up | $17.61 |
| 0xc41a… | Up | $14.68 |
| no87 | Up | $10.19 |
63 wallets held a position at the close. The 26 biggest winners took $1.3k; the 37 biggest losers gave up $4.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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